KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 54° or above (95%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 10:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
54° or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
56° or above1%
55° or above2%
57° or above3%
54° or above95%
58° or above0%
53° or above99%
59° or above0%
60° or above0%
61° or above0%
62° or above0%
53° or aboveLost
54° or aboveWon
55° or aboveLost
56° or aboveLost
57° or aboveLost
58° or aboveLost
59° or aboveLost
60° or aboveLost
61° or aboveLost
62° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 59 F on November 1, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 61 F on November 1, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 53.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 53° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 52.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 54° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 53.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 55° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 54.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 55.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 56.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 58° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 57.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 58.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 1, 2026 at 5 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
