KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
76° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
76° or above 99%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29.7K
Open interest
$16.6K
Medium open interestSpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
76° or above99%
77° or above68%
78° or above6%
79° or above2%
80° or above2%
81° or above1%
73° or above0%
74° or above0%
75° or above0%
82° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 28, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 28, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 28?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 29?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 28?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 29?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 76° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 27, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.