KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
75° to 76° 94.1%+42.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
75° to 76° 94.1%+42.0ptMarket quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Open interest
$7.6K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 27, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
75° to 76°94.1%
73° to 74°2%
77° or above1%
71° to 72°1%
69° to 70°1%
68° or below1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 29?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 30?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 29?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 30?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 75° to 76°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° to 74°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is greater than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° to 72°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° to 70°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is between 69-70° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 28, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.