KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
80° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
80° or above 99%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.7K
Open interest
$13K
Medium open interestSpread
22.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
80° or above99%
77° or above99%
79° or above99%
78° or above99%
81° or above92%
82° or above69%
84° or above3%
83° or above2%
85° or above1%
86° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 2?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on October 2?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 3?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) exceed 81 F on October 1, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 80° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 86° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 1, 2026 at 9 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.