KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 64° or above (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 1:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
65° or above37%
64° or above99%
59° or above0%
60° or above0%
61° or above0%
62° or above0%
63° or above0%
66° or above0%
67° or above0%
68° or above0%
64° or aboveWon
65° or aboveLost
59° or aboveLost
60° or aboveLost
61° or aboveLost
62° or aboveLost
63° or aboveLost
66° or aboveLost
67° or aboveLost
68° or aboveLost
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PolymarketRules
If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 58.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 65.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 8 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.