KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 69° or above (93%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
68° or aboveLost
69° or aboveWon
70° or aboveLost
65° or aboveLost
66° or aboveLost
67° or aboveLost
71° or aboveLost
72° or aboveLost
73° or aboveLost
74° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketWill a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 65.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 74° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Oct 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.