KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 71° or above (99%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 9:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
71° or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
72° or above7%
71° or above99%
73° or above2%
70° or above99%
69° or above99%
68° or above0%
74° or above0%
75° or above0%
76° or above0%
77° or above0%
71° or aboveWon
70° or aboveLost
69° or aboveLost
72° or aboveLost
73° or aboveLost
68° or aboveLost
74° or aboveLost
75° or aboveLost
76° or aboveLost
77° or aboveLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Oct 22, 2026 at 4 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.