KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 80 · —
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Stored price
Above 85 56.5%Market line of 11 lines
Above 85 56.5%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.6K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 80Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 11:18 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 80
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PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 85, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Streaming Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Streaming Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=4a5e14d8-0a48-449b-9733-5fadf6a45851&entity=Streaming+Apps. The underlying metric is app downloads. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Netflix, Hulu: Stream shows & movies, Disney+, Paramount+, Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies, Max: Stream HBO, TV, & Movies, ESPN: Live Sports & Scores, each weighted 1/7. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured app downloads equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 70, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 75, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Streaming app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.