KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityTrump 16%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.1
Liquidity
$9.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 19.0%
Spread
72.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 3:00 PMJul 9, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Trump16%
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If Keir Starmer says NATO as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purposes of this market, 'next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)' refers to the next official PMQs session in which Keir Starmer participates, occurring after June 10th, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.