KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore December 92%+8.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 90.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 5:00 PMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before October86%
Volume trend
$2.3kJul 521d of dataJul 29
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Rules
If Selena Gomez releases a new song before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Selena Gomez releases a new song before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Selena Gomez releases a new song before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.