KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Beautiful Things 42%Leader of 12 outcomes
Beautiful Things 42%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$230
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 5:25 PM UTCOct 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
KATSEYE · Songs performed at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show
KalshiTate McRae · Songs performed at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show
KalshiMegan Thee Stallion · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show
KalshiVictoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
KalshiWhich KPop groups will release songs in 2026?
PolymarketWhat songs will appear on the radio in Grand Theft Auto VI at release?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Megan Moroney performs 'Beautiful Things' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the New York TimesThe Hollywood ReporterBillboardFoxThe Washington PostVictoria’s SecretVarietyAPRolling StonePitchfork
- A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song live, or play an instrument performing the recognizable melody, riff, or musical structure of the song live. Pre-recorded audio or video playback without simultaneous live contribution does not qualify. Medleys, mashups, and partial performances count as Yes. Guest appearances count if the specified performer actively participates in performing the song. If the event is postponed to a date before the deadline, the market remains open for the rescheduled event. If the event is cancelled entirely, rescheduled after the deadline, or the performer withdraws, the market resolves to No. Soundchecks and rehearsals do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- Beautiful Things
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Beautiful Things' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tennessee Orange
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Tennessee Orange' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 6 Months Later
- If Megan Moroney performs '6 Months Later' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No Caller ID
- If Megan Moroney performs 'No Caller ID' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Am I Okay?
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Am I Okay?' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Medicine
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Medicine' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wish I Didn’t
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Wish I Didn’t' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- I'm Not Pretty
- If Megan Moroney performs 'I'm Not Pretty' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cloud 9
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Cloud 9' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Miss Universe
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Miss Universe' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Girls
- If Megan Moroney performs 'The Girls' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stupid
- If Megan Moroney performs 'Stupid' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.