KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 4.5 million bpd 90%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$654.4
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran crude oil production in September
KalshiVenezuela crude oil production in September
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 14 2026?
PolymarketCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketBrent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRules
If OPEC reports that Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production in September 2026 was above
Settles via:OPEC
- 3.5 million bpd, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The outcome will be determined using Saudi Arabia’s production figure in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report covering the September 2026 reference period.
- Specifically, the market will use the Saudi production figure identified in the note accompanying the table titled “OPEC crude oil production based on direct communication.”
- This market will not use OPEC’s secondary-sources estimate or Saudi Arabia’s “supply to the market” figure.
- OPEC reports the figure in thousands of barrels per day.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $96.99+42.0pt99%
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $503.1K
- 24h Vol
- $433.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $115.6K
- 24h Vol
- $115.6K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- $97.00 to $97.99+3.0pt17%
- $96.00 to $96.99+10.0pt17%
- $98.00 to $98.99+2.0pt15%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Saudi crude oil production in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 4.5 million bpd at 90% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Saudi crude oil production in September resolve?
- Saudi crude oil production in September is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026.
- How is Saudi crude oil production in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If OPEC reports that Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production in September 2026 was above