KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $31,000 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above $32,500 Stored bid–ask35%–38%Collected: Last trade: 35% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 9 lines
Above $32,500 Stored bid–ask35%–38%Collected: Last trade: 35% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.3K
Open interest
$24.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $31,000Spread
—
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $31,000
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $32,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Toyota
- Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration, explicitly identified as “Starting MSRP” or “Base MSRP” on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher trims alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts. The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, third-party prices, and prices for other model years do not qualify. If no qualifying price is published within the specified window, all markets resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Toyota. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $31,000
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $31,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $31,500
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $31,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $32,000
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $32,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $32,500
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $32,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $33,000
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $33,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $34,000
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $34,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $33,500
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $33,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $34,500
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $34,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $35,000
- If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $35,000, then the market resolves to Yes.