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Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Trump · —
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Stored price
Trump 89%Leader of 15 outcomes
Trump 89%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.6K
Open interest
$10K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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TrumpSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 6, 26, 10:00 PM UTCNov 20, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Trump
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Beshear announce a presidential run?
KalshiWill Andy Beshear win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Andy Beshear announce run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Andy Beshear says Trump as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Andy Beshear speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Trump
- If Andy Beshear says Trump as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Andy Beshear says Republican as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Job / Employment / Unemployment
- If Andy Beshear says Job / Employment / Unemployment as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Andy Beshear says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Andy Beshear says Tariff as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Andy Beshear says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Andy Beshear says Healthcare as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Andy Beshear says Iran / Iranian as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Andy Beshear says Corrupt / Corruption as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Andy Beshear says 2028 / Campaign as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- SNAP / Food Stamp
- If Andy Beshear says SNAP / Food Stamp as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Andy Beshear says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation / Inflationary
- If Andy Beshear says Inflation / Inflationary as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Andy Beshear says Billionaire as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.