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Data as of Nov 6, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Socialist / Socialism · —
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Stored price
Socialist / Socialism 74.5%Leader of 18 outcomes
Socialist / Socialism 74.5%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$603.4
Open interest
$618.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Socialist / SocialismSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 6, 26, 9:05 PM UTCNov 22, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Socialist / Socialism
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Mamdani say during NYT DealBook Summit?
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KalshiWill Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Fox News settle in their defamation lawsuit with Smartmatic before going to trial?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen the Fox News Empire when Rupert Murdoch dies?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Zohran Mamdani says Socialist / Socialism as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox News
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 using the original television broadcast of Fox News Sunday. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Socialist / Socialism
- If Zohran Mamdani says Socialist / Socialism as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If Zohran Mamdani says Israel / Israeli as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Immigrant / Immigration
- If Zohran Mamdani says Immigrant / Immigration as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Zohran Mamdani says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- El-Sayed
- If Zohran Mamdani says El-Sayed as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump / President
- If Zohran Mamdani says Trump / President as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Childcare
- If Zohran Mamdani says Childcare as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- NYPD
- If Zohran Mamdani says NYPD as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ICE
- If Zohran Mamdani says ICE as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grocery
- If Zohran Mamdani says Grocery as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If Zohran Mamdani says Tax as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Budget / Deficit
- If Zohran Mamdani says Budget / Deficit as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Free Bus / Fast & Free
- If Zohran Mamdani says Free Bus / Fast & Free as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Talarico
- If Zohran Mamdani says Talarico as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Zohran Mamdani says Data Center as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Zohran Mamdani says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Zohran Mamdani says Billionaire as part of Fox News Sunday originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.