KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: At least $20 billion (99%)
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, 2:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityAt least $34 billion 2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$408.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJun 18, 26, 8:00 PMJun 27, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
2%
98%
40%
96%
2%
46%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Adobe Analytics reports that the U.S. online spend across retailers for the Prime Day 2026 event, from June 23, 2026 through June 26, 2026 is at least $20 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the Adobe Analytics’ post-event report or public statement regarding U.S. online spend during the Prime Day 2026 event.
- This figure refers to total U.S. e-commerce spend across U.S. retailers during the event period, not Amazon-only sales.
- If Adobe publishes multiple figures, the relevant figure will be the total U.S. online spend across U.S. retailers for the full Prime Day 2026 event period.
- Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent estimates will not be considered.
- If Adobe Analytics reports that the U.S. online spend across retailers for the Prime Day 2026 event, from June 23, 2026 through June 26, 2026 is at least $22 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.