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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory
Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory

Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Burt Jones, 3-6% (99%)

Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, 7:03 PM

Winning Outcome

Burt Jones, 3-6%

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Burt Jones, 6-9%
Burt Jones, 6-9% 1%-2.0%
Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$54

Liquidity

$736

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
Apr 30, 26, 2:00 PMMay 19, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Burt Jones, 6-9%1%
Burt Jones, 3-6%99%
Rick Jackson, 6-9%3%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 4Jun 4Jun 5
Outcome24hChance
Burt Jones, 6-9%
Burt Jones, 6-9%
-2.0%
1%
Burt Jones, 3-6%
Burt Jones, 3-6%
+2.0%
99%
Rick Jackson, 9-12%
Rick Jackson, 9-12%
-1.0%
1%
Rick Jackson, 0-3%
Rick Jackson, 0-3%
1%
Rick Jackson, 3-6%
Rick Jackson, 3-6%
1%
Rick Jackson, 6-9%
Rick Jackson, 6-9%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Rick Jackson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Rick Jackson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Rick Jackson wins, or the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Rick Jackson does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Rules

If the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Rick Jackson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Rick Jackson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Rick Jackson wins, or the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Rick Jackson does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.