Peru presidential election: first round second place?
Politics
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Roberto Sánchez Palomino (98%)
Resolved: May 15, 2026, 7:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityRoberto Sánchez Palomino 97%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 73 days ago
StaleMar 25, 26, 2:00 PMMar 25, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
1%
1%
97%
1%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall64% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $69.3K | $5.6M | 73 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 98% | — | $1.9K | $1.5K | 73 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
0.7 ptsClosed
Resolved
Roberto Sánchez Palomino (100%)
+0.7pt100%
0%
0%
+45 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$6.3M
24h Vol$69.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If Rafael López Aliaga finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Rafael López Aliaga finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.