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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?
How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?

10.0% (24h)InflationOne-Off14d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 0.3%
Above 0.3% 5%-10.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$39.1

Liquidity

$112

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 5.0%

Spread

150.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PMJun 25, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 0.3%5%

Rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
  • It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,617.26+2.38%EthereumETH$1,651.11+1.72%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

Related Markets

How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

$0
Above 0.0%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?

$0
Above 0.0%: 90%KalshiKALSHI
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?

$0
Above 0.0%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$25.5K
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

$3.4K
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

$493.3
5.00-5.49%: 28%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.75%XRPXRP$1.12+0.18%BNBBNB$594.58+1.63%CardanoADA$0.1664+3.18%HyperliquidHYPE$54.68-1.22%LitecoinLTC$42.69+0.78%

Related News

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Rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
  • It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in May 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.