KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $1053.49
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningNo trading activityStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Above $1044.99Lost
Above $1045.49Lost
Above $1045.99Lost
Above $1046.49Lost
Above $1046.99Lost
Above $1047.49Lost
Above $1047.99Lost
Above $1048.49Lost
Above $1048.99Lost
Above $1049.49Lost
Above $1049.99Lost
Above $1050.49Lost
Above $1050.99Lost
Above $1051.49Lost
Above $1051.99Lost
Above $1052.49Lost
Above $1052.99Lost
Above $1053.49Won
Above $1053.99Lost
Above $1054.49Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,100 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1053.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Palladium
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA
Rules for each outcome
- Above $1044.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1044.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1045.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1045.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1045.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1045.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1046.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1046.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1046.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1046.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1047.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1047.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1047.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1047.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1048.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1048.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1048.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1048.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1049.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1049.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1049.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1049.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1050.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1050.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1050.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1050.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1051.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1051.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1051.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1051.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1052.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1052.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1052.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1052.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1053.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1053.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1053.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1053.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1054.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1054.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1054.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1054.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1055.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1055.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1055.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1055.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1056.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1056.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1056.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1056.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1057.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1057.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1057.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1057.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1058.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1058.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1058.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1058.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1059.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1059.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1059.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1059.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1060.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1060.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1060.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1060.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1061.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1061.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1061.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1061.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1062.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1062.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1062.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1062.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1063.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1063.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1063.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1063.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1064.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1064.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1064.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1064.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1065.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1065.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1065.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1065.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1066.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1066.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1066.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1066.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1067.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1067.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1067.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1067.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1068.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1068.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1068.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1068.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1069.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1069.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1069.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1069.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1070.49
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT is above 1070.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
