Target Price: $1,056.286
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (90%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes10%
No90%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,100 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - Palladium
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
