KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
$2.19 or below 31.4%+28.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.3
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.40 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Energy Information Administration
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.20 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.00 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $1.80 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $1.60 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $90+29.6pt93%
- ↑ $95+22.5pt56%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $461.2K
- 24h Vol
- $299.8K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 1, 2026?
- Above $85.99+62.0pt99%
- Above $86.49+67.0pt99%
- Above $83.99+21.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 3113%
- September 30-0.6pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3111%
- November 30-1.0pt6%
- October 31+0.1pt2%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 3.980+17.0pt99%
- Above 4.000+17.0pt99%
- Above 3.90099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.9K
KALSHICopper price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $6.4099%
- Above $6.4499%
- Above $6.4299%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $81.2K
- 24h Vol
- $81.2K
- Gold price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Brent crude oil price on September 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 1?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026?
- Kalshi prices $2.19 or below at 31% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026 resolve?
- Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.40 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.