KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Don't Say Good Luck 86.1%+8.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 12:00 AMAug 25, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Netflix
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Aug 25, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Don't Say Good Luck 91% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
- Also available on Polymarket — What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Don't Say Good Luck 92%
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+3.0pt16.5%
- Rick Devens+1.0pt16.5%
- Drew Campbell+3.0pt11%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $109.1K
KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 3599%
- Above 4598%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $327.1K
- 24h Vol
- $92.5K
KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+24.0pt91%
- Above 50+11.0pt49%
- Above 55-11.0pt5%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $254.4K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey60%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $35.5K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- Above 13.8M+45.0pt99%
- Above 13.7M+17.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M99%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $98K
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m-5.0pt77.9%
- 570m++3.0pt21.1%
- 530 - 550m-0.8pt1.1%
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026?
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Top Global Netflix Movie this week??
- Kalshi prices Don't Say Good Luck at 86% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Top Global Netflix Movie this week? resolve?
- Top Global Netflix Movie this week? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is Top Global Netflix Movie this week? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Top Global Netflix Movie this week? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.