KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above $450 billion (99%)
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, 11:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 31, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above $600 billion 99%+1.0ptLeader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$46.4K
Liquidity
$147.9K
High liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 31 days ago
StaleJul 1, 26, 4:30 PMJul 31, 26, 10:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Above $700 billion19%
Above $750 billion1%
Above $800 billion3%
Above $650 billion60%
99%
99%
99%
95%
80%
19%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Elon Musk's net worth is the named outcome in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bloomberg Billionaires Index
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA91.1%
- Apple7.9%
- Alphabet-0.6pt1%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.3K
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T+12.5pt31.8%
- $2.25–$2.5T-1.0pt15.9%
- $2.0–$2.25T-2.5pt14.9%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call?
- XSIAM98%
- Frontier95%
- Cortex Cloud+1.0pt80%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $45.7K
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt76.2%
- Apple-0.3pt12.9%
- Alphabet8.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in September 2026?
- What will Snowflake say during their next earnings call?
- IPOs before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elon Musk net worth on July 31 (Bloomberg)?
- Kalshi prices Above $600 billion at 99% as of July 31, 2026.
- When does Elon Musk net worth on July 31 (Bloomberg) resolve?
- Elon Musk net worth on July 31 (Bloomberg) is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026.
- How is Elon Musk net worth on July 31 (Bloomberg) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Elon Musk's net worth is the named outcome in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.