KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore July 2029 88%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$222.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 27.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 4:28 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before 202819%
Volume trend
$1Jul 172d of dataJul 18
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Rules
If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.