KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2030 · —
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Stored price
Before 2030 78.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before 2030 78.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$204.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2030Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 4:28 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2030
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2030
- If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July 2029
- If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July 2028
- If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
