KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 65 · —
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Stored price
Above 90 90.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 90 90.5%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$312.8
Open interest
$12.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 65Spread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 65
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill a film or TV show based on a book by Brandon Sanderson release before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 65
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 65, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 75, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 130
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 130, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 150
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 150, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170
- If the Carbon Arc Film & TV Streaming Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 170, then the market resolves to Yes.
