KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $40/MWh · —
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Stored price
Above $50/MWh 19.5%Market line of 7 lines
Above $50/MWh 19.5%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$163.1
Open interest
$202.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $40/MWhSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 23, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above $40/MWh
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $50/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO)
- Period: October 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: MISO’s final hourly real-time ex-post total LMPs from rtlmpfinal. Use the corresponding Data Exchange endpoint only if MISO discontinues that report. Intervals follow MISO’s operating-day and hour-ending conventions. MISO uses fixed EST year-round. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 23, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $40/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $40/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $20/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $30/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $30/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $50/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $65/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $65/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $125/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $125/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $90/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at MISO Indiana Hub is above $90/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
