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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Republicans, 1+ pts
Republicans, 1+ pts 60%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3

Liquidity

$67

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

58.0% / 65.0%

Spread

12.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 5, 26, 8:24 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Republicans, 1+ pts60%

Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Ohio's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

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Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Ohio's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.