KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRepublicans, 13+ pts 49%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$500
Liquidity
$501
Low liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 52.0%
Spread
13.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:22 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
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Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republicans, 13+ pts49%
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Florida's 21st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.