KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
56° to 57° 94.3%+72.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
56° to 57° 94.3%+72.0ptMarket quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Open interest
$3.5K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
56° to 57°94.3%
53° or below1.9%
58° to 59°0.9%
54° to 55°0.9%
62° or above0.9%
60° to 61°0.9%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Louisville on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Louisville on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Minneapolis on Nov 3, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Dallas on Nov 3, 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill we get AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 56° to 57°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is between 56-57° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 53° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is less than 54° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 58° to 59°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is between 58-59° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 54° to 55°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is between 54-55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is greater than 61° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° to 61°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Nov 3, 2026, is between 60-61° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.