KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityClaude 98%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$29.6K
Liquidity
$22.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 98.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:00 PMJul 20, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Claude98%
Volume trend
$29.6kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.