KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 20 million short tons 89%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 10:00 PM UTCApr 30, 28, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- 20 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data.
- Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000.
- Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.
- 22 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
- 24h Vol
- $495K
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- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+27 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 14, 2026?
- Above $96.99+16.0pt99%
- Above $95.99+9.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+14.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $98.50+25.0pt99%
- Above $98+25.0pt99%
- Above $97.50+20.0pt99%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- December 3111%
- November 30-0.5pt5%
- October 31+0.3pt3%
+6 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kentucky coal production in 2027?
- Kalshi prices Above 20 million short tons at 89% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Kentucky coal production in 2027 resolve?
- Kentucky coal production in 2027 is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2028.
- How is Kentucky coal production in 2027 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above