KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$157.4
Liquidity
$19.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 3, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
If Sony Pictures Animation releases KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this market, Sony Pictures Animation is considered the rights holder and producer of KPop Demon Hunters, regardless of distribution arrangements (e.g., as a Netflix Original).
- A “commercial release” shall mean the first public availability of a movie sequel to KPop Demon Hunters (e.g., KPop Demon Hunters 2 or another direct continuation in the same film franchise) to the general public, whether through streaming (including a Netflix-exclusive) or direct-to-digital/home media release.
- Other films with unrelated titles or concepts, even if involving K-pop themes, are excluded.
- Limited festival screenings, private previews, or promotional showings do not qualify unless they coincide with or constitute the official wide release to the general public.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year? resolve?
- KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Sony Pictures Animation releases KPop Demon Hunters 2 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.