KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Transgender 40%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$149
Liquidity
$149
Low liquiditySpread
19.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 5:00 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWhat will Anna Paulina Luna say during RNC Midterm Convention?
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KalshiWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
PolymarketWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?
PolymarketRules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.
Open markets
Dogecoin
LIMITLESSDOGE Up or Down - Daily
- No52.9%
- Yes47.1%
- Total Vol
- $75.3K
- 24h Vol
- $73K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat-2.0pt95%
- Stock Market+1.0pt94%
- Hottest-4.0pt90%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $287.8K
- 24h Vol
- $31K
KALSHIWhat will Google Cloud CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Open Source+42.0pt99%
- Data Center+23.0pt99%
- NVIDIA+41.0pt99%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Reddit CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Google+53.0pt99%
- Game / Gaming+74.0pt99%
- Safe / Safer / Safety+40.0pt99%
+14 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+4.0pt96%
- Nuclear+2.0pt94%
- Iran / Iranian+1.0pt94%
+26 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+1.5pt67%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Total Vol
- What will Trump say in September?
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- What will Trump say this week?
- What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- What will Brian Chesky say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- What companies will Trump say in September?
- What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
- DOGE 15 min · $0.0900546 target
- When will Dogecoin hit $1?
- Dogecoin price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention??
- Kalshi prices Transgender at 40% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention? resolve?
- What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention? is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.