KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 7,620 or above (59%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 2:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,620 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
7,550 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$196.1K
Liquidity
$146.7K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
7,620 or above59%
7,640 or above1%
7,660 or above0%
7,630 or above1%
7,635 or above1%
7,655 or above0%
7,625 or above8%
7,600 or above0%
7,575 or above54%
7,615 or above95%
7,645 or above0%
7,680 or above2%
7,550 or above65%
7,610 or above99%
7,605 or above0%
7,590 or above26%
7,650 or above0%
7,560 or above78%
7,520 or above79%
7,565 or above78%
7,665 or above0%
7,700 or above0%
7,555 or above78%
7,675 or above0%
7,670 or above1%
7,500 or above79%
7,535 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,570 or above59%
7,595 or above0%
7,685 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,480 or above99%
7,505 or above79%
7,710 or above0%
7,425 or above99%
7,485 or above79%
7,495 or above79%
7,490 or above79%
7,540 or above0%
7,455 or above97%
7,475 or above79%
7,440 or above97%
7,445 or above97%
7,460 or above79%
7,450 or above98%
7,690 or above0%
7,465 or above79%
7,510 or above79%
7,515 or above79%
7,430 or above98%
7,530 or above79%
7,525 or above79%
7,545 or above78%
7,435 or above97%
7,470 or above79%
7,695 or above0%
7,705 or above0%
7,715 or above0%
7,720 or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7424.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on September 17, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 17, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7429.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+2.0pt72.5%
- Apple-3.9pt20.4%
- Alphabet7.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.4M
- 24h Vol
- $91.8K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 28,810 or above98%
- 28,860 or above98%
- 28,410 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $76.7K
- 24h Vol
- $76.7K
KALSHIWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
- Same Store Sales98%
- Brazil98%
- Mega-Hub / Mega Hub-1.0pt98%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $72.5K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 560+3.0pt98%
- Above 580+5.0pt96%
- Above 600+1.0pt87%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.9%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-2.0pt15%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+2.0pt14.2%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 17?
- $745+12.4pt99%
- $735+9.1pt99%
- $740+7.5pt98%
+8 more outcomes
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17?
- MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
- S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 7,550 or above at 99% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7424.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.