KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 7,675 or above (32%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 3:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,675 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7,655 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$104.5K
Liquidity
$86.9K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 28, 26, 8:00 PMAug 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,670 or above77%
7,660 or above98%
7,675 or above32%
7,695 or above6%
7,680 or above5%
7,665 or above94%
7,685 or above1%
7,655 or above99%
7,650 or above99%
7,690 or above1%
7,700 or above2%
7,645 or above98%
7,635 or above0%
7,640 or above98%
7,725 or above32%
7,705 or above1%
7,775 or above2%
7,750 or above11%
7,755 or above7%
7,765 or above4%
7,770 or above3%
7,790 or above2%
7,710 or above18%
7,715 or above14%
7,575 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,615 or above99%
7,620 or above0%
7,625 or above0%
7,630 or above0%
7,720 or above0%
7,730 or above0%
7,735 or above0%
7,740 or above0%
7,745 or above0%
7,760 or above0%
7,780 or above0%
7,785 or above0%
7,795 or above0%
7,800 or above0%
7,805 or above0%
7,810 or above0%
7,815 or above0%
7,820 or above0%
7,825 or above0%
7,830 or above0%
7,835 or above0%
7,840 or above0%
7,845 or above0%
7,850 or above0%
7,855 or above0%
7,860 or above0%
7,865 or above0%
7,870 or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
94%
77%
32%
32%
18%
14%
11%
7%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7579.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $70.3K
- 24h Vol
- $69.3K
LIMITLESSEQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.5%
- Yes25.5%
- Total Vol
- $26.8K
- 24h Vol
- $26.3K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56092%
- Above 580-1.0pt88%
- Above 600-1.0pt84%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $74.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Aug 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,200 or above81%
- 29,220 or above80%
- 29,170 or above80%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21.3K
- 24h Vol
- $21.2K
KALSHIS&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 7,620 or above99%
- 7,625 or above99%
- 7,630 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19K
- 24h Vol
- $18.3K
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T+-2.4pt53.5%
- 750B–1T+9.0pt13.9%
- 1.25T–1.5T-1.0pt13.9%
+4 more outcomes
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 7,655 or above at 99% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT? resolve?
- S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.