KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 7,675 or above (82%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 2:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7,650 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$159.9K
Liquidity
$129.4K
High liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 28, 26, 8:00 PMAug 31, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,680 or above55%
7,690 or above11%
7,685 or above15%
7,675 or above82%
7,700 or above1%
7,695 or above2%
7,670 or above95%
7,705 or above1%
7,710 or above1%
7,720 or above1%
7,715 or above1%
7,725 or above1%
7,735 or above1%
7,740 or above1%
7,665 or above97%
7,730 or above1%
7,650 or above99%
7,645 or above0%
7,640 or above94%
7,620 or above98%
7,655 or above99%
7,660 or above99%
7,595 or above99%
7,625 or above0%
7,745 or above1%
7,630 or above0%
7,635 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,755 or above0%
7,770 or above0%
7,615 or above99%
7,610 or above0%
7,750 or above0%
7,775 or above38%
7,765 or above0%
7,575 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,760 or above0%
7,780 or above0%
7,785 or above35%
7,790 or above0%
7,795 or above0%
7,800 or above0%
7,805 or above0%
7,810 or above0%
7,815 or above0%
7,820 or above0%
7,825 or above32%
7,830 or above0%
7,835 or above0%
7,840 or above0%
7,845 or above0%
7,850 or above0%
7,855 or above0%
7,860 or above0%
7,865 or above0%
7,870 or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
96%
95%
82%
55%
38%
35%
32%
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7579.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 7,650 or above at 99% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is S&P price on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 31, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
