Current implied probability
China 75%+1.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$65
Liquidity
$114.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 75.0%
Spread
7.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 13, 26, 10:00 PMJul 20, 28, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
China75%
Volume trend
$65Jul 42d of dataJul 8
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If China wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If United States wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If South Korea wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Japan wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Poland wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.