KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 5.1 million 99%+34.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Above 5.1 million 99%+34.0ptMarket quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Open interest
$7.5K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 30, 26, 2:53 PM UTCMar 4, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Above 5.1 million99%
Above 4.8 million98%
Above 4.9 million96%
Above 5 million89%
Above 5.4 million10%
Above 5.2 million5%
Above 5.5 million3%
Above 5.3 million1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 5.1 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5100000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.8 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 4800000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.9 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 4900000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5000000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.4 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5400000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.2 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5200000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5500000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.3 million
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5300000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
