KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 92° or below (99%)
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, 11:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
92° or below
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
64%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
92° or below97%
93° to 94°1%
95° to 96°2%
97° to 98°1%
101° or above2%
99° to 100°1%
92° or belowWon
93° to 94°Lost
95° to 96°Lost
97° to 98°Lost
101° or aboveLost
99° to 100°Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the maximum temperature recorded at New Orleans for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 93° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMSY can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lix, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "New Orleans, LA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.