KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 94° to 95° (99%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 2:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
96° to 97°29%
94° to 95°99%
92° to 93°11%
100° or above1%
98° to 99°1%
91° or below1%
94° to 95°Won
96° to 97°Lost
92° to 93°Lost
100° or aboveLost
98° to 99°Lost
91° or belowLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas (CLILAS) for Oct 5, 2026, is less than 92° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
