KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 77° to 78° (99%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 11:09 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
77° to 78°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
23%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
75° to 76°66%
77° to 78°99%
72° or below3%
79° to 80°3%
73° to 74°9%
81° or above1%
77° to 78°Won
79° to 80°Lost
75° to 76°Lost
72° or belowLost
73° to 74°Lost
81° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Washington DC on October 31, 2026?
GeminiWill the highest temperature in Washington DC (DC)(DCA)(KDCA) exceed 63 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Washington DC (DC)(DCA)(KDCA) exceed 64 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Washington DC (DC)(DCA)(KDCA) exceed 62 F on October 31, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 77° to 78°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° to 80°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° to 76°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 72° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is less than 73° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° to 74°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 30, 2026, is greater than 80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
