KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, 7:06 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Probability Timeline
75° or below1%
76° to 77°1%
78° to 79°1%
80° to 81°99%
82° to 83°1%
84° or above1%
80° to 81°Resolved
75° or belowLost
76° to 77°Lost
78° to 79°Resolved
82° to 83°Lost
84° or aboveLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for April 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
