KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 74° to 75° (99%)
Resolved: Sep 14, 2026, 12:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
74° to 75°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
72° to 73°0%
74° to 75°99%
71° or below4%
76° to 77°1%
78° to 79°8%
80° or above2%
74° to 75°Won
72° to 73°Lost
71° or belowLost
76° to 77°Lost
78° to 79°Lost
80° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 13, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.