KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
80° to 81° 39.2%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
PolymarketRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 9, 2026, is less than 80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 80° to 81° at 39% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 9, 2026, is less than 80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini.