KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $3570.99 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 10:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 9:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above $3730.9997%
Above $3770.9997%
Above $3850.9997%
Above $4090.9975%
Above $4130.9947%
Above $4210.9926%
Above $4290.993%
Above $4170.991%
Above $3570.99Won
Before close: 99% ·
Above $3810.99Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above $3890.99Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above $3930.99Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above $4010.99Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above $4090.99Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above $4050.99Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Above $3610.99Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Above $3650.99Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Above $3690.99Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Above $3970.99Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Above $4130.99Lost
Before close: 95% ·
Above $4570.99Lost
Before close: 10% ·
Above $4290.99Lost
Before close: 6% ·
Above $4970.99Lost
Before close: 6% ·
Above $4770.99Lost
Before close: 5% ·
Above $4210.99Lost
Before close: 4% ·
Above $4250.99Lost
Before close: 4% ·
Above $4330.99Lost
Before close: 4% ·
Above $4410.99Lost
Before close: 4% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3570.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $3570.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3570.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3810.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3810.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3890.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3890.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3930.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3930.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4010.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4010.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4090.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4090.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4050.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4050.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3610.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3610.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3650.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3650.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3690.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3690.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3970.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3970.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4130.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4130.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4570.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4570.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4290.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4290.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4970.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4970.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4770.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4770.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4210.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4210.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4250.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4250.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4330.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4330.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4410.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4410.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4450.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4450.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4730.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4730.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4370.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4370.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4610.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4610.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4810.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4810.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4850.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4850.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4890.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4890.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4930.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4930.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4170.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4170.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4490.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4490.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4530.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4530.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4650.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4650.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4690.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4690.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5050.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5050.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5090.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5090.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5130.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5130.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3730.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3730.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3770.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3770.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $3850.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3850.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5010.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5010.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5170.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5170.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5210.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5210.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5250.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5250.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5290.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5290.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5330.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5330.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5370.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5370.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5410.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5410.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5450.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5450.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5490.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5490.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5530.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5530.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.