Target Price: $3,999.39
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (44%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 6:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 6:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes44%
No56%
NoLost
YesWon
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US gas prices this week
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiWho wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PolymarketUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
