KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Justin Bieber 100%Leader of 35 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Polymarket#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome is featured on the album Fear of Missing Out by Drake, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify
- Fear of Missing Out by Drake must be available on Spotify to be considered under the Payout Criterion.
- If no album is released before 2027, all markets will resolve to No. If PARTYNEXTDOOR is featured on the album Fear of Missing Out by Drake, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
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+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fear of Missing Out · Features?
- Kalshi prices Justin Bieber at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Fear of Missing Out · Features resolve?
- Fear of Missing Out · Features is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Fear of Missing Out · Features settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is featured on the album Fear of Missing Out by Drake, then the market resolves to Yes.