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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?

5.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
United States
United States 10%+5.0%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$12.6

Liquidity

$221.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 12.0%

Spread

71.4%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 23, 26, 4:30 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

United States10%

Rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
  • Animal cases do not qualify.
  • The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
  • Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count.
  • Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.

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Rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
  • Animal cases do not qualify.
  • The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
  • Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count.
  • Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.