Current implied probability
Gemini 3 75%+9.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$33.7K
Liquidity
$35.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
75.0% / 76.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 7:51 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gemini 375%
Volume trend
$33.7kJul 176d of dataJul 22
Related Markets
Which company has best AI model end of July?
$89.8KAnthropic: 98%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
$52.4KNo release by July 31: 90%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company this week
$34.7KBaidu: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
$20.4KAnthropic: 92%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
$8.8KBefore Jul 24, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
$7KBy Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'DecryptRules
If Wiz is said by any Alphabet Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alphabet Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Alphabet Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Alphabet Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If European Commission is said by any Alphabet Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alphabet Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.